Is Ontario the next Hong Kong?

Here’s What I See…

Trump isn’t just talking. He’s setting up the game board.

People dismiss his wild statements as bluster, but that’s the trick…say something bold enough, let the media and the public debate it, and now it’s in play. The more it’s repeated, the less crazy it sounds. By the time the pressure mounts and people start looking for a way out, the “unthinkable” has already been introduced as a solution.

That’s exactly what he’s doing with Canada…and particularly Southern Ontario.

For years, Trump has hinted at an America First expansion that goes far beyond just economic policy. He’s talked about tariffs, drug trafficking at the northern border, the barriers that prevent U.S. banks from operating freely in Canada, and even fast-tracking Canadian citizens for U.S. citizenship.

Put it all together, and it starts to look like a long game designed to break Ontario’s economy, then absorb it.

Hiding in Plain Sight: The Setup Nobody is Seeing

Trump has already made several “throwaway” comments that, in hindsight, could be seen as trial balloons for a bigger move:

• He joked about Canada becoming the 51st state.
• He said he’d “fast-track” citizenship for productive Canadians.
• He’s called the 1908 Boundary Waters Treaty “probably unenforceable.”
• He’s hammered Canada for fentanyl trafficking, saying the northern border is a major pipeline.
• He’s pointed out that U.S. banks are locked out of Canada’s financial system.

Each one of those statements was dismissed at the time. But now look at what’s happening.

1. Step One: Apply Pressure
• A 25% auto tariff cripples Ontario’s most important industry.
• No federal bailout in sight. Trudeau is powerless, and Poilievre won’t step in.
• Real estate in Windsor, Oakville, and Oshawa starts to crack. People panic.
2. Step Two: Let the Pain Build
• Automakers start moving production south. Suppliers follow.
• Blue-collar job losses ripple through local businesses, restaurants, and services.
• People start seeing their home values sink while mortgage rates stay high.
3. Step Three: Offer the Golden Bridge
• Trump suggests a “solution” to fix everything overnight—fast-track citizenship for Ontarians.
• The auto plants don’t have to move…only their jurisdiction does.
• U.S. banks step in with lower mortgage rates and investment incentives.
• Fentanyl crisis? Solved…because now it’s a U.S. territory with full federal enforcement.

At first, Canadians will reject it outright. No way. Not happening.

Then, the pain gets worse.
Then, people start whispering, What if…?
Then, businesses quietly lobby for it.
Then, a few major players flip.
Then, it’s no longer a joke…it’s a real debate.

Because when faced with losing their homes, businesses, and entire industry…most people will pick stability over patriotism.

This is Not a Wild Conspiracy—This is a Playbook

This kind of maneuvering isn’t new. We’ve seen versions of this before:

• Brexit – Seemed impossible, until it wasn’t.

• Crimea – Russia made its move once the people inside started shifting their loyalty.

• COVID Mandates – Everyone said “I’ll never comply” …until their ability to work, travel, and dine out was on the line.

• NAFTA to USMCA – Canada thought they could negotiate as equals…until Trump made them eat the deal he wanted.

Now, we’re seeing the same psychological pressure campaign applied to Southern Ontario.

How to Prepare for the Coming Shift

If Trump plays this out the way I expect, Ontario is facing a once-in-a-century economic shift.

The people who see it coming and position themselves correctly will come out ahead.

Here’s what you need to do right now:

1. Follow the Money, Not the Politics

Forget political loyalty. What matters is where capital flows…and right now, capital is preparing to leave Ontario.

• Watch if the auto manufacturers start shifting operations.

• Pay attention to real estate investment groups…where they pull out, and where they reinvest.

• Track major corporate tax incentives…who’s lobbying for what in Washington and Queen’s Park?

Where the money goes, the future follows.

2. Prepare Your Business for U.S. Expansion

If you own or operate a business in Ontario, start laying the groundwork for a U.S. presence.

• Incorporate in the U.S. even if you don’t have immediate plans to move.

• Establish banking relationships in the U.S. now, before Canadian financial instability kicks in.

• Lock in supply chain agreements that don’t leave you vulnerable to tariff hikes.

If Trump suddenly makes it attractive to operate under a U.S. jurisdiction, you don’t want to be scrambling to figure out how.

3. Hedge Against a Canadian Economic Collapse

This isn’t just about auto jobs. A mass exodus of industry from Ontario will hit everything…real estate, banking, small business, even public services.

• If you own a home, watch the market closely. Don’t be the last one to see the writing on the wall.

• If your investments are Canada-heavy, start diversifying now.

• If your job is dependent on manufacturing, have an exit strategy ready.

The people who move first always get the best opportunities. The ones who wait get stuck.

4. Keep an Eye on Who Flips First

There will be a moment…a public tipping point…where someone important switches sides.

• A major CEO starts talking about moving production.

• A real estate mogul says the shift would be “good for business.”

• A politician floats a “joint economic partnership” with the U.S.

That’s when the floodgates open. And by then, the best opportunities will already be taken.

Everything is Impossible… Until It Isn’t

Most people think this could never happen. But most people also thought:

• Trump would never be president.

• The U.K. would never leave the EU.

• Governments wouldn’t force businesses to close during COVID.

• NAFTA was untouchable.

Until it all happened.

Ontario is perfectly positioned for the same kind of shift.

The pressure is already mounting. The economic levers are being pulled. The path is being laid out.

You don’t have to like it.
You don’t have to agree with it.
But you damn well better be ready for it.

Because by the time the mainstream admits this is a real possibility… 

the people who saw it coming will already be winning.