Is Southern Ontario the Next Hong Kong? (Continued)

About a month ago, I outlined a theory I saw quietly taking shape…one that sounded outlandish to some, but made too much sense to ignore. (Is Ontario the next Hong Kong?)

Since then, the landscape has shifted, and the signals I picked up on then are now echoing louder than ever.

At the time, the media focused on tariffs…ramping up the usual narratives: trade war, retaliation, disruption. But I suggested something else entirely.

That this isn’t really about trade, it’s not even really about Canada.

The opening move? Fentanyl.

Trump has been relentless about it … framing Canada as a weak link in border security, pointing fingers at Trudeau, demanding action. But is that just the lead domino?

Because once you can paint Canada as a threat…economically, socially, or criminally…you can justify any move that comes next.

And that’s where the real play begins.

Pay Close Attention to the Pattern

Trump plays a long game. He doesn’t just make noise…he lays track. And if you study him closely, you’ll notice the same tactic over and over:

1. Introduce a wild idea.

2. Get the media to mock it.

3. Let the repetition do the programming.

Whether it's calling Trudeau "the Governor of Canada" or dropping hints about a 51st state, Trump uses ridicule as a delivery system. The very media that hates him becomes his greatest amplifier. They spread the message for free, embed it in the national consciousness, and make it real by simply repeating it.

It’s genius.

Why Southern Ontario?

Most of Canada’s auto manufacturing lies below the 49th parallel…an area geographically, economically, and emotionally closer to the American Rust Belt than to Ottawa.

Places like Windsor, Woodstock, Oakville…

These aren't just dots on the map. They’re anchor points in the North American auto ecosystem.

And yet? We’ve barely heard Canadian federal politicians talk about auto with the urgency it deserves. Poilievre talks resources. Trudeau dropped out. Carney’s big play is the housing crisis. PPC merged with PC, Alberta’s flirting with secession. And Auto in Ontario? Crickets

Too quiet.

Remember the 1908 Boundary Waters Treaty?

It’s the document that has long governed cross-border water usage and environmental agreements between Canada and the U.S.

Trump has openly questioned its relevance…suggesting more than once that it’s outdated, unfair, and due for a rewrite. He’s even called attention to that clean straight line (multiple times)…the 49th parallel…and then pointed out the dip. “What’s that?” “Why’s that there”  he said.

That “dip” is Southern Ontario. The place he keeps pointing to. The one nobody else seems to want to mention.

Also, the place that was the heart of his original concern. “The porous border”.

Windsor/Detroit is by far the busiest crossing. 

I don't think that's random. It’s programming. Again…he’s hiding in plain sight.

What Happened in Australia?

Go back and look at Australia. They had a domestic auto industry. Once vibrant. Then quietly dismantled. It wasn’t dramatic…it was surgical.

Multinational OEMs shifted production, citing costs and scale. Government made soft promises. And before anyone realized what happened, the industry was gone.

Now imagine that same sequence… but here.

Meanwhile, in the U.S…

The Inflation Reduction Act and U.S. policy incentives are luring manufacturers south. Tariffs are being shaped to punish offshore reliance. Canada…without a firm foothold…sits in limbo.

But what if that limbo is the plan?

The Real Play?

What if it’s not just about tariffs or immigration or fentanyl?

What if this is about bringing the whole country to its knees…but especially Southern Ontario.

The region that’s home to the largest concentration of auto manufacturing in Canada, responsible for nearly a third of the country’s GDP, and sitting quietly below the 49th parallel. 

The part of Canada Trump often points to. “That little dip.”

What once sounded like bluster…51st state, Governor of Canada, fast-track citizenship,  "take it all" …is beginning to feel eerily plausible.

So here’s the question:

If the rest of Canada had to make a painful decision… a brutal one… to save the whole…would they do it?

Would the West, the Maritimes, the North, and even parts of Quebec sacrifice a leg to save the body?

Would the country quietly agree that Southern Ontario, battered and isolated, might be the piece to let go?

Because Trump is standing right there… with a tourniquet in one hand and a new passport in the other.

Why Say This Now?

Because a month ago, this all sounded wild. A fringe theory. But today, you can feel the ground shifting. The moves are being made quietly. The narratives are being framed subtly.

And if you listen carefully…you’ll hear the music starting.

So maybe the real question isn’t “Is this possible?”

Maybe it’s “What’s already been decided?”